Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.960685 1.083309 1.217168 1.374394 1.554328 1.754191 1.993520
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.752202 0.912997 1.103284 1.346128 1.649300 2.017224 2.500467
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.663340 0.845206 1.072281 1.378732 1.784693 2.308456 3.042513
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.581074 0.769571 1.015239 1.362092 1.844352 2.498733 3.466824
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.528183 0.723330 0.987324 1.375094 1.937789 2.736401 3.976804
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.475874 0.670786 0.943111 1.357161 1.980977 2.902247 4.396731
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.435195 0.629701 0.909546 1.348667 2.033517 3.082881 4.855703
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.387627 0.573635 0.848108 1.290755 2.002234 3.128239 5.100101
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.366248 0.554518 0.839578 1.312362 2.096225 3.379026 5.711158
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.348062 0.538420 0.833720 1.336664 2.195540 3.646913 6.382547
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.328660 0.518559 0.819823 1.345721 2.268888 3.876536 7.011824
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.310484 0.499057 0.804595 1.350516 2.334247 4.097267 7.650075
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.295362 0.483789 0.795716 1.366489 2.423048 4.373599 8.440514
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.273922 0.456250 0.763907 1.338987 2.429554 4.497531 8.944767
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.264437 0.448415 0.765286 1.371330 2.551043 4.854119 9.977362
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.248193 0.427436 0.741678 1.354796 2.575820 5.021183 10.625821
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.237726 0.415938 0.734101 1.367720 2.659635 5.316368 11.598029
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.223856 0.397227 0.711806 1.349893 2.678756 5.477582 12.285033
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.212368 0.382102 0.695045 1.341450 2.716238 5.681652 13.101739
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.195639 0.356029 0.655653 1.283879 2.643438 5.634619 13.298337
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.189708 0.350126 0.654720 1.305359 2.744291 5.989534 14.555427
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.184435 0.345112 0.655107 1.329517 2.853320 6.375509 15.952680
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.177819 0.337007 0.648714 1.338521 2.928654 6.690022 17.208470